Friday, November 20, 2009

Climate Alarmism revealed #1

As many, many people have commented and emailed, the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia has been hacked and thousands of files released—over 60MB of them. They do appear to be genuine—not only would the sheer volume of information suggest that they are real, CRU have apparently confirmed it—and they blow the lid off the anthropogenic climate change alarmism movement.

As Bishop Hill says...
Excerpts of the emails have been posted here. They include a CRU scientist welcoming the death of a prominent sceptic, discussion of how to fiddle results and so on.

Watt's Up With That has more details.
An unknown person put postings on some climate skeptic websites that advertised an FTP file on a Russian FTP server, here is the message that was placed on the Air Vent today:
We feel that climate science is, in the current situation, too important to be kept under wraps.

We hereby release a random selection of correspondence, code, and documents

The file was large, about 61 megabytes, containing hundreds of files.

It contained data, code, and emails from Phil Jones at CRU to and from many people.

I’ve seen the file, it appears to be genuine and from CRU. Others who have seen it concur- it appears genuine. There are so many files it appears unlikely that it is a hoax. The effort would be too great.

Indeed. Watt also publishes a few of the emails, although it is this one that is the crucial one, to my mind.
From: Phil Jones
To: ray bradley ,,
Subject: Diagram for WMO Statement
Date: Tue, 16 Nov 1999 13:31:15 +0000
Cc: k.briffa@xxx.xx.xx,

Dear Ray, Mike and Malcolm,

Once Tim’s got a diagram here we’ll send that either later today or
first thing tomorrow.

I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps
to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from
1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline. Mike’s series got the annual
land and marine values while the other two got April-Sept for NH land
N of 20N. The latter two are real for 1999, while the estimate for 1999
for NH combined is +0.44C wrt 61-90. The Global estimate for 1999 with
data through Oct is +0.35C cf. 0.57 for 1998.
Thanks for the comments, Ray.


Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) xxxxx
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) xxxx
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email

In the above email, we have a "scientist" admitting that he has essentially deliberately constructed misleading charts by mixing actual temperature data with proxy and assumed data.

I am going to keep monitoring this story, but to everyone who believed in AGW with a blind faith and all of those commenters who scoffed at the idea that scientists might fake results, I would just like to send out a little message:

We told you so.

More to come...

UPDATING: a list of The Kitchen posts, so far, concerning this is posted below:
  1. Climate Alarmism revealed

  2. A selection of emails: Dr Keiller complains

  3. Real Climate responds

  4. Summarising the salient points of the emails

  5. The Englishman speculates

  6. Follow the money

  7. Harrabin leads the BBC fightback

  8. Random scandals: a conversation on dendroclimatology

  9. A note on the authenticity of the data

  10. Hacked? Or leaked?

And, just as a reminder, feel free to browse the searchable database.


Rob H said...

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Anonymous said...

The file is on The Pirate Bay:

Get it quick before it 'dissapears'

Anonymous said...

Say again

Shug Niggurath said...

There are 1073 emails in the file, I hope to have these online in a searchable format this evening. Want the link posted when I get them up?

Neal Asher said...

Plenty of people have already downloaded the file so it's in no danger of disappearing. But really, unless the MSM pick this up and run with it (they won't because they're on the whole AGW believers) it'll be an Internet storm in a teacup. Yeah, if you read some of it in a certain way it's damaging, but anymore damaging than the falsification and massaging of data that's already been seen and proven, or the deliberate silencing of unbelievers? No, not really. It's going to take something a lot bigger than this to stop the huge momentum of the AGW industry, unfortunately. Maybe another ten years of cold will do that.

Generalfeldmarschall said...

@Shug Niggurath

Yes, please.

Roger Thornhill said...

If this is indeed true it is a case of

Back of the net

Al Gore will look so silly he will have to sign up for the first Mars mission just to try and escape the humiliation.

Mr Eugenides said...

BBC now have a puff piece up from the Hadley Centre - sorry, from their environmental reporting staff - confirming the security breach, but of course not revealing the explosive nature of the correspondence.

Very much a case of "move along, nothing to see here..."

Anonymous said...

If you don't like torrents you can get it here:
I've scanned it with 4 different programmes, and it appears "clean".

Shtuff said...

They'll be saying that David Nutt and his mate made up their data too...

The Pedant-General said...

We don't yet know if there is anything added or modified to the raw emails.

that the vast bulk of the mail is genuine seems beyond doubt - Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit has confirmed that mails to or from him are genuine - but we don't know whether there are tweaks to internal mails to make them seem more incriminating.

Still, if the warmists involved wish to avoid a big PR disaster and public opinion moving away from them really very very sharply, they need to open up data and code for a really thorough audit - I think the public default position is now going to be a very great deal more sceptical unless they can get a McIntyre seal of approval. That's the new landscape whether they like or not, and whether the mails here are true or not.

subrosa said...

It's not often I make wishes but oh please let this be true.

Then surely, for once and for all, I'll never hear the words 'climate change' again.

I have my doubts though as others do not none of the MSM will touch this in detail.

Old Greeny said...

I'll be VERY interested to see if the Baghdad Brainwashing Corporation will mention this on the evening propaganda...

Dominic Allkins said...

I can also confirm that the megaupload file is virus free - downloaded and tested it this morning.

It appears that the emails, data and code are genuine. If so then I imagine that once everyone has had a chance to sift through what's there then this is the smoking gun we've all been waiting for.

I'd love to have seen the faces at CRU and IPCC today. Would have made me laugh and laugh and laugh.

I think Neal Asher is right and that the MSM will try to ignore this as much as possible so it's up to all of us to keep up the pressure.

It does rather put the so called investigative journalists to shame.

A hahahahahahahahaha!!!!

wv: liken - oh yes I do.

Diogenes said...

Word verification


Anonymous said...

Well, the BBC have picked it up now:

And it's been blogged since this morning on Fausty's blog and on mine.

It's getting updated regularly on Twitter as well.

Yes, it could be another internet cause celebre, but it's the BBC that's got hold of it properly now and, say what you want, they get more hits than Guido ;)

Anonymous said...

Fraud is the offence they should be prosecuted for I believe.
Especially by businesses that have lost 1,000,000,000's coughing up for this quack science.

Old Holborn said...

I want my fucking money back. NOW

Blanket Of Ash said...

Do these sounds like ethical scientists to you?

The two MMs have been after the CRU station data for years. If they ever hear
is a Freedom of Information Act now in the UK, I think I'll delete the file rather than
to anyone. Does your similar act in the US force you to respond to enquiries within
20 days? - our does ! The UK works on precedents, so the first request will test it.
We also
have a data protection act, which I will hide behind. Tom Wigley has sent me a worried
email when he heard about it - thought people could ask him for his model code. He
has retired officially from UEA so he can hide behind that.


Shug Niggurath said...

Basic searchable version of the emails (ran up in an hour after getting in from work).

It works well enough, didn't spend a long time testing or tweaking the search so it might return an abnormally high number of non-exact match searches, but I'll add some word filtering when I get the chance; Try and search using only meaningful and relevant words for best results at the mo.

Searchable / Browse by 25 Emails here

Katabasis said...

Great work Shug!

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