Current

Sunday, July 20, 2008

Purveyors of truth, the climate science way...

Posted by Devil's Kitchen at 7/20/2008 01:24:00 pm

As we all know, all scientists are paragons of truth and virtue with no interest in lying to us in order to cement their importance in the world. As such, they would never just pluck figures out of the air (well, unless it's figures concerning the "safe" levels of alcohol, of course).

Foremost amongst these deeply honest people are the climate scientists, as honest as the day is long and fighting, on behalf of mankind, to make us realise the errors of our ways before we are rendered extinct by temperatures no higher than those that existed during the Mediaeval Warm Period that according to Mann et al. didn't exist anyway, so there.

So, it is very naughty of the vastly prolific Tom Nelson to highlight this article. [Emphasis mine.]
As readers of this blog know, Ellen and I support Anthony Watts' Surface Station survey project. We recently surveyed sites in South Dakota and Wyoming. We passed through Wells Nevada on our way home, and I remembered there was a surface station in Wells that we may have missed on a previous trip to Idaho. I checked the NCDC Data base and found that the Well site had been closed in July of 2004, so we did not stop. Here is a screen shot of the data base.



I was reading this analysis of some sites in Maine by Kristen Byrnes: Makin" Up Climate Data... Junk, and thought I should check to see if NCDC is still posting temperature data for the closed Wells Nevada site.

Can you guess what's coming? I mean, the station is closed and so there must be nothing recorded, right? After all, these noble scientists wouldn't just pluck figures out of their arseholes to support their hypotheses, would they? Apart from anything else, that would be deeply unethical.

Oh, wait...
Here is the evidence from the NCDC data base right up to 2006.


Oh.
The NCDC data base I have access only goes to 2006, they could be making up 2007 and 2008 temperatures as well. Remember this is one of those "high quality" surface stations that James Hansen and his fellow travelers at GISS are using to calculate global warming in the United States. Folks, here is more evidence they are making it all up. The Wells site was closed in 2004. Where did these Wells temperatures come from out to 2006? As Kristen wrote, they are making it up from junk.

As the man says, this is the quality of the evidence that is being used to force us to modify our lifestyles and to curb our economies. Seriously, how does anyone believe this shit?

Oh yes, they don't actually bother to look at all of that nasty confusing scientific data; they just bow down and worship at the altar of the IPCC, an organisation the very existence of which relies upon proving anthropogenic climate change. Remember, chaps, that even though the cosy sinecures and international reputations of those on the IPCC rely on the anthropogenic climate change theory, they are definitely not biased in any way because they are noble scientists. OK?

WAKE UP, people: you are being lied to. Although not by the deeply truthful climate scientists, obviously. It's some other group. Of course.

In the meantime, Climate Skeptic is still asking why it is that we are still relying on land data.
One of the ironies of climate science is that perhaps the most prominent opponent of satellite measurement of global temperature is James Hansen, head of ... wait for it ... the Goddard Institute for Space Studies at NASA! As odd as it may seem, while we have updated our technology for measuring atmospheric components like CO2, and have switched from surface measurement to satellites to monitor sea ice, Hansen and his crew at the space agency are fighting a rearguard action to defend surface temperature measurement against the intrusion of space technology.

For those new to the topic, the ability to measure global temperatures by satellite has only existed since about 1979, and is admittedly still being refined and made more accurate. However, it has a number of substantial advantages over surface temperature measurement:
  • It is immune to biases related to the positioning of surface temperature stations, particularly the temperature creep over time for stations in growing urban areas.

  • It is relatively immune to the problems of discontinuities as surface temperature locations are moved.

  • It is much better geographic coverage, lacking the immense holes that exist in the surface temperature network.

Anthony Watt has done a fabulous job of documenting the issues with the surface temperature measurement network in the US, which one must remember is the best in the world. Here is an example of the problems in the network. Another problem that Mr. Hansen and his crew are particularly guilty of is making a number of adjustments in the laboratory to historical temperature data that are poorly documented and have the result of increasing apparent warming. These adjustments, that imply that surface temperature measurements are net biased on the low side, make zero sense given the surfacestations.org surveys and our intuition about urban heat biases.

Indeed. After all, long-time readers will remember that if you take the actual measured temperatures, there is no actual warming. It's added on through "adjustments" in the lab.

But, that's OK because, as we all know, these climate scientists are, as I said, paragons of virtue and are, I would imagine, actually incapable of lying.

And I, for one, welcome our new climate scientist overlords. I'd like to remind them as a trusted blogging personality, I can be helpful in rounding up others to toil in their underground carbon capture caves...

Labels: , , , , , ,


Posted by Devil's Kitchen at 7/20/2008 01:24:00 pm


3 Blogger Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/06/of-buckets-and-blogs/#more-569

7/21/2008 12:22:00 pm  
Blogger knirirr said...

scientists are paragons of truth and virtue with no interest in lying to us

It is, of course, the “scientific method” that gets the results rather than any inherent truthfulness of those who use it. The facts can be uncovered by anyone no matter how much they may be misrepresented for political (a field that seems to reward untruthfulness, unlike science) gain.

7/21/2008 06:52:00 pm  
Anonymous Frank O'Dwyer said...

DK,

"I mean, the station is closed and so there must be nothing recorded, right?"

That's right, and USHCN doesn't claim otherwise. What that graphic purports to be is not a graph of historical observations from that station, but this:

You have chosen site 268988, WELLS, Nevada
Available temperature data includes FILNET and Urban Heat-Adjusted values.


So here is a clear statement that it includes other values than just direct observations.

What is FILNET? It is this:

Estimates for missing data are provided using a procedure similar to that used in SHAP. This adjustment uses the debiased data from the SHAP and fills in missing original data when needed (i.e. calculates estimated data) based on a “network” of the best correlated nearby stations. The FILNET program also completed the data adjustment process for stations that moved too often for SHAP to estimate the adjustments needed to debias the data.

Now you can try to make something of them filling in for missing data using statistical methods if you wish, however this is a far cry from 'lying', a far cry from 'unethical', and it is also a far cry from plucking a number out of your arse. It is simply filling in incomplete data, which is clearly flagged and understood to be such, so that it is simpler to process upstream.

2/03/2009 09:29:00 pm  

Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home

Archives

Previous Posts

Archives

Testimonials

  • "The best British political/libertarian blog on the web. Consistently excellent but not for the squeamish."—Christopher Snowdon
  • "[He] runs the infamous and fantastically sweary Devil’s Kitchen blog, and because he’s one of the naughtiest geeks (second only to the incredibly, incredibly naughty Guido Fawkes) he’s right at the top of the evil dork hierarchy."—Charlotte Gore
  • "I met the Devil's Kitchen the other night. What a charming young man he is, and considerably modest too..."—Peter Briffa
  • "The Devil's Kitchen exposes hypocrisy everywhere, no holds barred."—Wrinkled Weasel
  • "People can still be controversial and influential whilst retaining integrity—Devil's Kitchen springs to mind—and attract frequent but intelligent comment."—Steve Shark, at B&D
  • "Sometimes too much, sometimes wrong, sometimes just too much but always worth a read. Not so much a blog as a force of nature."—The Nameless Libertarian
  • "The Devil's Kitchen—a terrifying blog that covers an astonishing range of subjects with an informed passion and a rage against the machine that leaves me in awe..."—Polaris
  • "He rants like no one else in the blogosphere. But it's ranting in an eloquent, if sweary, kind of way. Eton taught him a lot."—Iain Dale
  • "But for all that, he is a brilliant writer—incisive, fisker- extraordinaire and with an over developed sense of humour... And he can back up his sometimes extraordinary views with some good old fashioned intellectual rigour... I'm promoting him on my blogroll to a daily read."—Iain Dale
  • "... an intelligent guy and a brilliant writer..."—A Very British Dude
  • "... the glorious Devil's Kitchen blog—it's not for the squeamish or easily offended..."—Samizdata
  • "... a very, smart article... takes a pretty firm libertarian line on the matter."—Samizdata
  • "By the way, DK seems to be on fucking good form at the moment."—Brian Mickelthwait
  • "Perhaps the best paragraph ever written in the history of human creation. It's our Devil on fine form."—Vindico
  • "Devil's Kitchen is the big name on the free-market libertarian strand of the British blogosphere... Profane rants are the immediate stand-out feature of DK's blog, but the ranting is backed up by some formidable argument on a wide range of issues particularly relating to British and European parliamentary politics, economics, and civil liberties."—Question That
  • "... an excellent, intelligent UK political blog which includes a great deal of swearing."—Dr Aubrey Blumsohn
  • "I like the Devil's Kitchen. I think it's one of the best written and funniest blogs in the business."—Conservative Party Reptile
  • "The. Top. UK. Blogger."—My Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy
  • "For sheer intelligence, erudition and fun, Iain Dale's Diary, Cranmer and Devil's Kitchen are so far ahead of the rest I don't see how they can figure in a top ten. They are the Beatles, Stones and Who of the blog world; the Astair, Bogart and Marlon Brando of the blog world; the Gerswin, Porter and Novello of the blog world; the Dot Cotton, Pat Butcher, Bette Lynch of the blog world..."—Wrinkled Weasel
  • "It's the blogging equivalent of someone eating Ostrich Vindaloo, washed down by ten bottles of Jamaican hot pepper sauce and then proceeding to breathe very close to your face while talking about how lovely our politicians are... But there's much more to his writing than four letter words."—Tom Tyler
  • "God bless the Devil's Kitchen... Colourful as his invective is, I cannot fault his accuracy."—Tom Paine
  • "The Devil's Kitchen is a life-affirming, life-enhancing blog ... This particular post will also lead you to some of the best soldiers in the army of swearbloggers of which he is Field Marshal."—The Last Ditch
  • "... underneath all the ranting and swearing [DK]'s a very intelligent and thoughtful writer whom many people ... take seriously, despite disagreeing with much of what he says."—Not Saussure
  • "... the most foul-mouthed of bloggers, Devils Kitchen, was always likely to provoke (sometimes disgust, but more often admiration)."—The Times Online
  • "The always entertaining Mr Devil's Kitchen..."—The Times's Comment Central
  • "Frankly, this is ranting of the very highest calibre."—The Nameless Libertarian
  • "I don't mean it literally, or even metaphorically. I just find that his atheism aside, I agree with everything the Devil (of Kitchen fame...) says. I particularly enjoy his well crafted and sharp swearing, especially when addressed at self righteous lefties..."—The Tin Drummer
  • "Spot on accurate and delightful in its simplicity, Devil's Kitchen is one of the reasons that we're not ready to write off EUroweenie-land just yet. At least not until we get done evacuating the ones with brains."—Anti-Idiotarian Rottweiler
  • "This hugely entertaining, articulate, witty Scottish commentator is also one of the most foul-mouthed bloggers around. Gird up your loins and have a look. Essential reading."—Doctor Crippen
  • "The Devil's Kitchen is one of the foremost blogs in the UK. The DK is bawdy, foul-mouthed, tasteless, vulgar, offensive and frequently goes beyond all boundaries of taste and decency. So why on earth does Dr Crippen read the DK? Because he reduces me to a state of quivering, helpless laughter."—Doctor Crippen's Grand Rounds
  • "DK is a take-no-prisoners sort of libertarian. His blog is renowned for its propensity for foul-mouthed invective, which can be both amusing and tiresome by turns. Nevertheless, he is usually lucid, often scintillating and sometimes illuminating."—Dr Syn
  • "If you enjoy a superior anti-Left rant, albeit one with a heavy dash of cursing, you could do worse than visit the Devil's Kitchen. The Devil is an astute observer of the evils of NuLabour, that's for sure. I for one stand converted to the Devil and all his works."—Istanbul Tory
  • "... a sick individual."—Peter Briffa
  • "This fellow is sharp as a tack, funny as hell, and—when something pisses him off—meaner than a badger with a case of the bullhead clap."—Green Hell
  • "Foul-mouthed eloquence of the highest standard. In bad taste, offensive, immoderate and slanderous. F***ing brilliant!—Guest, No2ID Forum
  • "a powerfully written right-of-center blog..."—Mangan's Miscellany
  • "I tend to enjoy Devil's Kitchen not only because I disagree with him quite a lot of the time but because I actually have to use my brain to articulate why."—Rhetorically Speaking
  • "This blog is currently slamming. Politics certainly ain't all my own. But style and prose is tight, fierce, provocative. And funny. OK, I am a child—swear words still crack a laugh."—Qwan
  • "hedonistic, abrasive but usually good-natured..."—The G-Gnome
  • "10,000 words per hour blogging output... prolific or obsessive compulsive I have yet to decide..."—Europhobia
  • "a more favoured blog from the sensible Right..."—Great Britain...
  • "Devils Kitchen, a right thinking man indeed..."—EU Serf
  • "an excellent blog..."—Rottweiler Puppy
  • "Anyone can cuss. But to curse in an imaginative fashion takes work."—Liftport Staff Blog
  • "The Devil's Kitchen: really very funny political blog."—Ink & Incapability
  • "I've been laffing fit to burst at the unashamed sweariness of the Devil's Kitchen ~ certainly my favourite place recently."—SoupDragon
  • "You can't beat the writing and general I-may-not-know-about-being-polite-but-I-know-what-I-like attitude."—SoupDragon
  • "Best. Fisking. Ever. I'm still laughing."—LC Wes, Imperial Mohel
  • "Art."—Bob
  • "It made me laugh out loud, and laugh so hard—and I don't even get all the references... I hope his politics don't offend you, but he is very funny."—Furious, WoT Forum
  • "DK himself is unashamedly right-wing, vitriolic and foul mouthed, liberally scattering his posts with four-letter-words... Not to be read if you're easily offended, but highly entertaining and very much tongue in cheek..."—Everything Is Electric
  • "This blog is absolutely wasted here and should be on the front page of one of the broadsheets..."—Commenter at The Kitchen
  • "[This Labour government] is the most mendacious, dishonest, endemically corrupt, power-hungry, incompetent, illiberal fucking shower of shits that has ruled this country..."—DK

Blogroll

Campaign Links

All: Daily Reads (in no particular order)

Politics (in no particular order)

Climate Change (in no particular order)

General & Humour (in no particular order)

Mac,Design Tech & IT (in no particular order)