Saturday, August 18, 2007

A climate of fear (amongst AGW scientists)

A few days ago, The Grauniad had a front page story about climate change that neatly shows scientists at their bet-hedging best. [Emphasis mine.]
Powerful computer simulations used to create the world's first global warming forecast suggests temperature rises will stall in the next two years, before rising sharply at the end of the decade.

From 2010, they warn, every year has at least a 50% chance of exceeding the record year of 1998 when average global temperatures reached 14.54C.

Or, to put it another way, from 2010, every year has a 50% chance of not exceeding the high of 1998. Fuck it, why don't you guys just flip a coin?

You see, a lot of the data is proving somewhat inconvenient for the climate change shillers scientists; satellite data shows that temperatures have dropped since 1998, and then plateaued which is, you'll admit, a little inconvenient, not only for those who predict imminent doom but also for those who draw a direct correlation between warming and greenhouse gases.

And satellite data is a little difficult to "correct"; it is thus extremely fortunate that the scientists are able to falsify correct the land temperature record so easily, eh?

Meanwhile, Bishop Hill announces some glad news: global warming is over!

Wake up, people: we are being lied to.

1 comment:

The Remittance Man said...

But 50% chance is such a big scary saying. I'll bet most of the innumerate products of the modern education system are quaking in their boots at the thought.

It just goes to show how the media can take "maybe it will and maybe it won't" and make it sound like a racing certainty so long as it suits their agenda.